When the Rules Change

Reading Time: 6 minutes In the 1990’s competitive swimmers got very serious about swimming large distances underwater at the start of races. This culminated most famously in Russian Denis Pankratov winning the 100m butterfly at the Atlanta olympics by swimming more than half of the first length underwater and breaking the world record. Swimming’s governing body, FINA, decided understandably … More When the Rules Change

Apples and Squirrels – IRRs vs CAGR

Reading Time: 4 minutes The internal-rate-of-return is the traditional way of measuring returns in private markets (where cash-flows occur into and out of partnerships) but its shortcomings as a measure are one big reason to be wary of private markets performance, more on that here. It can be a bit like comparing apples with squirrels. One of several issues … More Apples and Squirrels – IRRs vs CAGR

A reason this equity rally might not be overdone

Reading Time: 5 minutes It’s a psychological fact that market falls are almost always painful. But stock market rallies can be almost as hated if they take a lot of people by surprise which is the same as saying the narratives in play against it are stronger or more prevalant than those supporting it. The bounce we’ve been in … More A reason this equity rally might not be overdone

Planning once you’ve been punched in the mouth – 3 more questions

Reading Time: 9 minutes No plan survives first contact with the enemy Herman Von Mutke the Elder During a speech in November 1957 Eisenhower told an anecdote about the maps used during U.S. military training. Maps of the Alsace-Lorraine area of Europe were used during instruction before World War I, but educational reformers decided that the location was not … More Planning once you’ve been punched in the mouth – 3 more questions

Three questions we are all asking in this market

Reading Time: 6 minutes There are decades when nothing happens, and there are weeks when decades happen. Lenin Yes, so in case you are wondering we ARE in the Lenin quotes phase of this crisis (Warren Buffet quotes was first week of March, Charlie Munger second week of March and Peter Lynch third week of March, since you asked). … More Three questions we are all asking in this market

15 productive things investors can do in a market downturn

Reading Time: < 1 minute Re-affirm your investment objective ( for framing, context) and your process 2. Run through each of your holdings and remind yourself why you own it 3. Check your mandates are performing as expected given conditions 4. Remind yourself how often drawdowns usually occur – put things into historical context 5. Count how many of the … More 15 productive things investors can do in a market downturn

Complex systems and an Oscar-worthy f*** up

Reading Time: 2 minutes And the winner is … La La Land!! You might remember this one. Oscars night in 2017. Award for best picture. Warren Beatty and Faye Dunnaway presenting. The entertainment world waiting with baited breath as Beatty hesitated -playing with the audience- as the winner of the best picture was to be announced … But it … More Complex systems and an Oscar-worthy f*** up

Patient capital in the 21st century

Reading Time: 4 minutes There’s never been a greater need for long-term investment to replace decaying global infrastructure and navigate serious challenges like climate change. But long-term investment programs are rife with challenges and there is no guarantee of success. That’s the premise of an ambitious book (Patient Capital) by Harvard Business School professors Victoria Ivashina and Josh Lerner. … More Patient capital in the 21st century