New to the investment industry? Eight things you must follow 2022 edition

Reading Time: 5 minutes Tl;dr Can your podcast app be more valuable than an MBA? It might. I’ve done the hard work so you don’t have to. Follow these 8 things to cut through the noise and get incredible access to knowledge & thinking to supercharge your investment career. Recently joined the investment industry? Congrats and welcome, you’re going … More New to the investment industry? Eight things you must follow 2022 edition

The Portfolio of the Future

Reading Time: 4 minutes The Chartered Alternative Investment Association (CAIA) wrote an intriguing piece on the Portfolio for the Future, including 5 specific characteristics >> Diversification  Private capital  Fiduciary responsibility  Actively engaged / Universal Owner Operational alpha  We spoke to John Bowman about all this and more, here’s what he had to say ( web | apple podcasts ) … More The Portfolio of the Future

6 Investment Frameworks from Michael Maouboussin

Reading Time: 2 minutes When you get chance to chat to renowned author and researcher Michael Mauboussin you take notes! You can listen to our full conversation right here (or here in apple podcasts or spotify), and below are my 6 main takeaways Investment Uncut · S3 Ep. 41 Multiples are not valuation with Michael Mauboussin 1. Expectations investing … More 6 Investment Frameworks from Michael Maouboussin

Bonds are Back: Navigating the bond bear market & 5 questions you should be thinking about.

Reading Time: 9 minutes You don’t need me to tell you we’re in a bear market here. Those are fairly common. The slightly more unique feature of this one is that bonds are also in a bear market alongside equities. Is that a surprise? Not sure, it’s been predicted every year since about 2012 so in some ways it’s … More Bonds are Back: Navigating the bond bear market & 5 questions you should be thinking about.

A Question: What is The Most Underappreciated Thing in Investing?

Reading Time: 2 minutes We’ve asked this question to nearly 100 different guests on our pocast, Investment Uncut (subscribe here apple | spotify ) including investing legends like Rob Arnott of Resarch Affiliates, Charles Plowden of Baillie Gifford, fund researcher Deb Clarke, Professors like Allison Schrager, Ludovic Phallipou and Alex Edmans and authors Robin Wigglesworth, David Ricketts and Joe … More A Question: What is The Most Underappreciated Thing in Investing?

What Stuart Kirk could have said …

Reading Time: 7 minutes I’ve realised that, when working in Responsible Investing, you can burn up an awful lot of energy and time responding to the same old tired arguments again – time that’s usually better spent elsewhere. That’s why on Friday when the video emerged of HSBC AM’s head of responsible investing Stuart Kirk’s now infamous FT speech … More What Stuart Kirk could have said …

Greenwashing away trust

Reading Time: 11 minutes Just because there’s noise around responsible investing doesn’t mean there isn’t substance. But the biggest risk to the movement right now is greenwashing by asset managers and others that’s taking place out there, every month, every day. While the intent is not malicious, it undermines the foundations of a movement that is genuinely starting to … More Greenwashing away trust

Inbox, diary, to-do list: now choose just two

Reading Time: 5 minutes That choice between this “trinity” of masters seems to be the reality of modern knowledge work , and for those in senior roles (C-suite or equivalent) it’s often just one of those three that you get to stay on top of while the other spiral out of control. The modern media environment with its torrent … More Inbox, diary, to-do list: now choose just two

Turning points in uncharted territory

Reading Time: 2 minutes War, climate change, pandemics, inflation, rising interest rates First published in LCP’s investment magazine – VISTA Original version available at lcp.foleon.com The job of investing involves reckoning with a huge amount of uncertainty and intersecting trends while making good decisions, screening out noise and resisting the temptation to overreact. That is, of course, easier said … More Turning points in uncharted territory

What’s the most underappreciated work skill in 2022?

Reading Time: 2 minutes I asked the big question on Linkedin: what’s the most underappreciated workplace skill in 2022? Passive aggressive email drafting? Pretty powerpoint slides? Perfectly labelled excel spreadsheets? Here’s some of the answers I got back (crowd sourced): Teamwork The people who contribute huge value by making everyone around them a little bit better, though often in … More What’s the most underappreciated work skill in 2022?

Transitory inversion

Reading Time: 5 minutes Here’s my latest fortnightly real talk markets newsletter, in this edition: Q1 mumble, inflation, climate, the new triple-peak workday and Bill Gross is still standing. If you like it, please subscribe over on substack: How’s your week? I got followed by the real Bill Gross on Twitter y’all. So it’s been that kind of a … More Transitory inversion

Investing in a time of inflation: what they don’t tell you

Reading Time: 7 minutes Words like turning point and uncharted territory are easily overused in investing. No-one rings a bell at the top or bottom, and it’s always different this time, so usually they are no help. But it’s probably fair to say that 2022 is shaping up to present one of the more challenging periods investors will have … More Investing in a time of inflation: what they don’t tell you

Asking for a friend

Reading Time: 5 minutes A reader asks: how do stockmarkets typically do in high inflation / interest rate rising environments (asking for a friend). You can see why the question is being asked: It’s the question we’re all asking right now (or should be). It’s funny sometimes when something that has been so widely predicted / talked about, actually … More Asking for a friend

🍏

Reading Time: 6 minutes Hypothetical question. How much is a business worth that does $120bn of revenue in a quarter , at a 40% profit margin. What if I told you earnings have been growing around 20% per year? Well, “a lot” would be one answer. But clearly Apple (yes, you guessed it!) is already valued at “a lot” … More 🍏

Why it’s great to fail your new year’s resolutions

Reading Time: 5 minutes Getting comfortable with failure leads to better goals, helps you learn what works and moves away from a fixed mindset. I love new year’s. At a pinch I might even choose New Year over Christmas and all its forced consumerism. New Year is a chance to reset, refresh, reflect – looking both backwards and forwards. … More Why it’s great to fail your new year’s resolutions

From portfolios of stocks to portfolios of funds

Reading Time: 7 minutes Over the last 20 years, one of the biggest trends I think we’ve seen during my career is the fundamental quantum unit of the portfolio shift from being stocks (usually domestic) to funds (global). This is true for large, institutional investors but it’s also true for individuals. As just one example of this, UK individuals … More From portfolios of stocks to portfolios of funds

What if everything you were taught about economics & finance was wrong?

Reading Time: 5 minutes Do we stop to question received wisdoms as often as we should? The stories, words, metaphors and concepts we use to describe things do matter. They define the cast of characters on (or off) the economic stage, perhaps implicitly relegating important areas to marginal or non-existent roles, without even thinking about it . Adjectives and … More What if everything you were taught about economics & finance was wrong?

Finding what others can’t vs seeing what others don’t

Reading Time: 3 minutes There are a great many ways to succeed in investing , some involve doing very little (eg owning a passive index) others involve a lot more. I reckon you have at least 4 broad categories: 1. Seeing what others don’t (eg Growth investing: buying Amazon or Apple ) 2. Finding what others can’t (eg private … More Finding what others can’t vs seeing what others don’t

How Much Would You Need to Retire In Your 40’s?

Reading Time: 6 minutes So look I get that no-one needs another piece debating the 4% rule. (I did write a piece doing exactly this last summer though, showing that the last decade of low rates had “broken” the 4% rule – in the UK, similar conclusions would hold in the US). The follow-up to that piece was surprising- … More How Much Would You Need to Retire In Your 40’s?

Delivering the goods or a bad taste in the mouth?

Reading Time: 3 minutes All the ingredients came together here to deliver a really tasty story: You’ve got a rare listing of a tech “darling” in London, in a climate where the UK government is desperate to “reawaken” London’s capital markets in a post-Brexit world and in a time of US-based SPACs stalking many private UK firms. Add to … More Delivering the goods or a bad taste in the mouth?

Social Conscience: The New Asset Management Competitive Advantage

Reading Time: 2 minutes They’ve done the hard work so you don’t need to. It was great to see ShareAction’s list of the top 13 shareholder resolutions to watch this AGM season – every investor or adviser should be putting this to the asset managers they work with to hear where they stand on these issues. We’re in a … More Social Conscience: The New Asset Management Competitive Advantage

Digital gold: the institutional case for Bitcoin

Reading Time: 3 minutes Look, I’ve always been pretty skecptical of Cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin. My typical argument would be that if you evaluate it against the characteristics of a typical financial asset you find that it has: no income, no claim to crytalise value and no inherent value. But perhaps that is too narrow a way of looking at … More Digital gold: the institutional case for Bitcoin

The Concept of Emerging Markets is an outdated relic, we need a new paradigm

Reading Time: 7 minutes In 1981, an enterprising economist at the World Bank named Antione Agtmael was trying to win backing for the idea of a fund investing in developing economies. He was struggling with the name, and he knew this mattered. He was stuck on “third world equity fund”, but his colleagues weren’t sure. The name “Emerging Markets” … More The Concept of Emerging Markets is an outdated relic, we need a new paradigm

Five questions that investors will be asking themselves in 2021

Reading Time: 2 minutes I’m not one for predictions, especially when we’ve just lived through a year where many forecasts went out the window shortly after the ink on them had dried. However I feel I’m on fairly safe ground with the prediction that investors will find themselves asking at least THREE of the following FIVE questions at some … More Five questions that investors will be asking themselves in 2021

Good and bad answers to the biggest portfolio puzzle

Reading Time: 7 minutes The big question that every investor must be wrestling with right now as we go into 2021 is the prospect for future returns. Do we need to take more risk to earn decent returns in a world of zero interest rates? This could be biggest investing puzzle of our time (a question Josh Brown posed … More Good and bad answers to the biggest portfolio puzzle

Who allocates capital these days?

Reading Time: 4 minutes The Economist recently put out an epic on the future of asset management. Some of the conclusions were fairly obvious and well-known (albeit still important) but a couple of others struck me as under-appreciated. Who allocates capital? When you strip asset management back to its core societal purpose it’s about allocating investors’ capital to the … More Who allocates capital these days?

The military’s powerful risk management technique

Reading Time: 9 minutes Think Like a Military Commander: The Red Team “One thing a person cannot do, no matter how rigorous his analysis, is draw up a list of thing that would never occur to him” – Thomas Schelling The commander had a serious problem. It was October 2010, a company of Paras had just arrived in southern … More The military’s powerful risk management technique